Bank of Canada Rate Announcement Jun 4th, 2025

Lee Welbanks • June 4, 2025

Bank of Canada holds policy rate at 2¾%.


FOR IMMEDIATE RELEASE

Media Relations

Ottawa, Ontario

June 4, 2025


The Bank of Canada today maintained its target for the overnight rate at 2.75%, with the Bank Rate at 3% and the deposit rate at 2.70%.


Since the April Monetary Policy Report, the US administration has continued to increase and decrease various tariffs. China and the United States have stepped back from extremely high tariffs and bilateral trade negotiations have begun with a number of countries. However, the outcomes of these negotiations are highly uncertain, tariff rates are well above their levels at the beginning of 2025, and new trade actions are still being threatened. Uncertainty remains high.


While the global economy has shown resilience in recent months, this partly reflects a temporary surge in activity to get ahead of tariffs. In the United States, domestic demand remained relatively strong but higher imports pulled down first-quarter GDP. US inflation has ticked down but remains above 2%, with the price effects of tariffs still to come. In Europe, economic growth has been supported by exports, while defence spending is set to increase. China’s economy has slowed as the effects of past fiscal support fade. More recently, high tariffs have begun to curtail Chinese exports to the US. Since the financial market turmoil in April, risk assets have largely recovered and volatility has diminished, although markets remain sensitive to US policy announcements. Oil prices have fluctuated but remain close to their levels at the time of the April MPR.


In Canada, economic growth in the first quarter came in at 2.2%, slightly stronger than the Bank had forecast, while the composition of GDP growth was largely as expected. The pull-forward of exports to the United States and inventory accumulation boosted activity, with final domestic demand roughly flat. Strong spending on machinery and equipment held up growth in business investment by more than expected. Consumption slowed from its very strong fourth-quarter pace, but continued to grow despite a large drop in consumer confidence. Housing activity was down, driven by a sharp contraction in resales. Government spending also declined. The labour market has weakened, particularly in trade-intensive sectors, and unemployment has risen to 6.9%. The economy is expected to be considerably weaker in the second quarter, with the strength in exports and inventories reversing and final domestic demand remaining subdued. 


CPI inflation eased to 1.7% in April, as the elimination of the federal consumer carbon tax reduced inflation by 0.6 percentage points. Excluding taxes, inflation rose 2.3% in April, slightly stronger than the Bank had expected. The Bank’s preferred measures of core inflation, as well as other measures of underlying inflation, moved up. Recent surveys indicate that households continue to expect that tariffs will raise prices and many businesses say they intend to pass on the costs of higher tariffs. The Bank will be watching all these indicators closely to gauge how inflationary pressures are evolving.


With uncertainty about US tariffs still high, the Canadian economy softer but not sharply weaker, and some unexpected firmness in recent inflation data, Governing Council decided to hold the policy rate as we gain more information on US trade policy and its impacts. We will continue to assess the timing and strength of both the downward pressures on inflation from a weaker economy and the upward pressures on inflation from higher costs.


Governing Council is proceeding carefully, with particular attention to the risks and uncertainties facing the Canadian economy. These include: the extent to which higher US tariffs reduce demand for Canadian exports; how much this spills over into business investment, employment and household spending; how much and how quickly cost increases are passed on to consumer prices; and how inflation expectations evolve. 


We are focused on ensuring that Canadians continue to have confidence in price stability through this period of global upheaval. We will support economic growth while ensuring inflation remains well controlled.


Information note


The next scheduled date for announcing the overnight rate target is July 30, 2025. The Bank will publish its next MPR at the same time.


Lee Welbanks

Smart Steps to Get Your Home Market-Ready

By Lee Welbanks • July 29, 2026
Thinking About Selling Your Home? Start With These 3 Key Questions Selling your home is a major move—emotionally, financially, and logistically. Whether you're upsizing, downsizing, relocating, or just ready for a change, there are a few essential questions you should have answers to before you list that "For Sale" sign. 1. How Will I Get My Home Sale-Ready? Before your property hits the market, you’ll want to make sure it puts its best foot forward. That starts with understanding its current market value—and ends with a plan to maximize its appeal. A real estate professional can walk you through what similar homes in your area have sold for and help tailor a prep plan that aligns with current market conditions. Here are some things you might want to consider: Decluttering and removing personal items Minor touch-ups or repairs Fresh paint inside (and maybe outside too) Updated lighting or fixtures Professional staging Landscaping or exterior cleanup High-quality photos and possibly a virtual tour These aren’t must-dos, but smart investments here can often translate to a higher sale price and faster sale. 2. What Will It Actually Cost to Sell? It’s easy to look at the selling price and subtract your mortgage balance—but the real math is more nuanced. Here's a breakdown of the typical costs involved in selling a home: Real estate agent commissions (plus GST/HST) Legal fees Mortgage discharge fees (and possibly a penalty) Utility and property tax adjustments Moving expenses and/or storage costs That mortgage penalty can be especially tricky—it can sometimes be thousands of dollars, depending on your lender and how much time is left in your term. Not sure what it might cost you? I can help you estimate it. 3. What’s My Plan After the Sale? Knowing your next step is just as important as selling your current home. If you're buying again, don’t assume you’ll automatically qualify for a new mortgage just because you’ve had one before. Lending rules change, and so might your financial situation. Before you sell, talk to a mortgage professional to find out what you’re pre-approved for and what options are available. If you're planning to rent or relocate temporarily, think about timelines, storage, and transition costs. Clarity and preparation go a long way. The best way to reduce stress and make confident decisions is to work with professionals you trust—and ask all the questions you need. If you’re thinking about selling and want help mapping out your next steps, I’d be happy to chat anytime. Let’s make a smart plan, together.
Four coworkers in a bright office meeting around a laptop and papers, discussing work at a wooden table

Debt Cosolidation Strategy

By Lee Welbanks • July 22, 2026
How to Get Out of Debt Faster Debt has a way of quickly spiralling out of control, particularly if you face one of life’s most common financial obstacles – such as job loss/wage reduction, separation/divorce or illness/death. But, fortunately, there are debt-reduction strategies available to get you out of debt quicker and remain debt free! One popular debt-reduction strategy tackles your smallest debt balances first before moving up the chain to pay off larger ones. When the smallest debt is paid in full, you roll the minimum payment you were making on that debt into the next-smallest debt payment. Here’s how it works in bite-sized steps: Record your debts from smallest to largest regardless of interest rate Make minimum payments on all your debts except the smallest one Pay as much as possible on your smallest debt Repeat until each debt is paid in full Focus on outstanding balances, not interest rates If your largest debt has the largest interest rate, it’s going to be a long time before you even see a dent in that crazy balance of yours. But when you stick to the smallest balance plan, you’re going to feel a true sense of accomplishment as you pay off that debt super quick. That excitement is what’s going to motivate you to keep working hard until you’re completely out of debt. This debt strategy is effective because it’s all about changing your behaviour. And once you see positive results, you’re more encouraged to stay the course until you’re out of debt. Example Let’s say you have four different debts: $500 dental bill – $50 payment $2,500 credit card debt – $63 payment $7,000 car loan – $135 payment $10,000 student loan – $96 payment Using this debt strategy, you make minimum payments on everything except the $500 dental bill. Since you’re paying $550 a month on the dental bill (the $50 minimum payment plus the extra $500), that debt is completely gone in one month. Now you can take the freed-up $550 and attack your credit card debt, paying a total of $613 ($550 plus the $63 minimum payment). In about four months, you’ll be waving goodbye to that credit card debt too! Next, you’ll tackle the car loan to the tune of $748 a month ($613 plus $135). In 10 months, you’ll be driving a vehicle you actually own. By the time you reach that dreaded student loan (your biggest debt), you can put $844 a month towards it. That means you’ll be making your final payment in just 12 months. With all your hard work and sacrifice, throwing extra money into your debt strategy and staying focused on the goal, you’ll have paid off $20,000 in just 27 months! Wondering if this is the right debt strategy for you? I’m always here to help. Answers are a call or email away.