Bank of Canada Holds Rate at 2.25% — March 18, 2026

Lee Welbanks • March 18, 2026

The Bank of Canada announced today that it is holding its target for the overnight rate at 2.25%, with the Bank Rate at 2.5% and the deposit rate at 2.20%. For anyone watching the mortgage market — whether you're renewing, purchasing, or simply keeping an eye on borrowing costs — here's a breakdown of what was announced and what it may mean for you.

What the Bank of Canada Said

The Global Picture

The Bank noted that global economic growth was tracking at approximately 3% heading into 2026, but conditions have become more uncertain following the outbreak of conflict in the Middle East. Global oil and natural gas prices have risen sharply as a result, which is expected to push inflation higher in the near term. Transportation bottlenecks — including disruptions tied to the Strait of Hormuz — are also raising concerns about the supply of key commodities.

Financial markets have responded: global bond yields have risen, equity prices have declined, and credit spreads have widened. The Canada-U.S. dollar exchange rate has remained relatively stable through all of this.

The Canadian Economy

Canada's GDP contracted 0.6% in the fourth quarter of 2025, somewhat weaker than the Bank had anticipated — though much of this was driven by a larger-than-expected drawdown in inventories, rather than a collapse in consumer spending. In fact, domestic demand grew by more than 2%, supported by consumer and government spending.

Looking ahead, the Bank expects modest economic growth as Canada continues adjusting to U.S. tariffs and ongoing trade policy uncertainty. However, the labour market has softened. Employment gains made in the fourth quarter of 2025 were largely reversed in the first two months of 2026, and the unemployment rate climbed to 6.7% in February.

Inflation

On the inflation front, CPI inflation eased to 1.8% in February, down from 2.3% in January — below the Bank's 2% target. Core inflation measures have also come down and are sitting close to 2%. That said, the recent surge in global energy prices is expected to push gasoline prices — and therefore total inflation — higher in the coming months.

Why the Bank Held

With growth risks tilted to the downside and inflation risks moving upward due to energy prices, the Bank of Canada's Governing Council chose to hold steady at 2.25% rather than move in either direction. The Bank cited the need to assess the evolving impact of U.S. tariffs, trade uncertainty, and the Middle East conflict before making any further adjustments.

In the Bank's own words, they "stand ready to respond as needed" — signalling that future moves remain on the table depending on how conditions develop.

What This Means for Mortgage Holders and Buyers

A rate hold means no immediate change to variable-rate mortgage payments or home equity lines of credit (HELOCs) tied to the prime rate. However, the language from the Bank signals a cautious, wait-and-see approach in a climate that carries real uncertainty — both on the growth and inflation sides.

The next scheduled rate announcement is April 29, 2026 , at which point a new Monetary Policy Report will also be released with updated economic projections.

As always, every borrower's situation is unique. If you have questions about how today's announcement affects your mortgage — or want to explore your options — don't hesitate to reach out. Staying informed is one of the best tools you have in any rate environment.

Information sourced from the Bank of Canada's official press release dated March 18, 2026.

Lee Welbanks
By Lee Welbanks July 29, 2026
Thinking About Selling Your Home? Start With These 3 Key Questions Selling your home is a major move—emotionally, financially, and logistically. Whether you're upsizing, downsizing, relocating, or just ready for a change, there are a few essential questions you should have answers to before you list that "For Sale" sign. 1. How Will I Get My Home Sale-Ready? Before your property hits the market, you’ll want to make sure it puts its best foot forward. That starts with understanding its current market value—and ends with a plan to maximize its appeal. A real estate professional can walk you through what similar homes in your area have sold for and help tailor a prep plan that aligns with current market conditions. Here are some things you might want to consider: Decluttering and removing personal items Minor touch-ups or repairs Fresh paint inside (and maybe outside too) Updated lighting or fixtures Professional staging Landscaping or exterior cleanup High-quality photos and possibly a virtual tour These aren’t must-dos, but smart investments here can often translate to a higher sale price and faster sale. 2. What Will It Actually Cost to Sell? It’s easy to look at the selling price and subtract your mortgage balance—but the real math is more nuanced. Here's a breakdown of the typical costs involved in selling a home: Real estate agent commissions (plus GST/HST) Legal fees Mortgage discharge fees (and possibly a penalty) Utility and property tax adjustments Moving expenses and/or storage costs That mortgage penalty can be especially tricky—it can sometimes be thousands of dollars, depending on your lender and how much time is left in your term. Not sure what it might cost you? I can help you estimate it. 3. What’s My Plan After the Sale? Knowing your next step is just as important as selling your current home. If you're buying again, don’t assume you’ll automatically qualify for a new mortgage just because you’ve had one before. Lending rules change, and so might your financial situation. Before you sell, talk to a mortgage professional to find out what you’re pre-approved for and what options are available. If you're planning to rent or relocate temporarily, think about timelines, storage, and transition costs. Clarity and preparation go a long way. The best way to reduce stress and make confident decisions is to work with professionals you trust—and ask all the questions you need. If you’re thinking about selling and want help mapping out your next steps, I’d be happy to chat anytime. Let’s make a smart plan, together.
Four coworkers in a bright office meeting around a laptop and papers, discussing work at a wooden table
By Lee Welbanks July 22, 2026
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